Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $503.29
- Potential payout
- $527
- Potential profit
- $23.71
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Polymarket Trader
zalozhen
0x186c18caabd40f2a9d5db1f0bcfc4bd509a11d32
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $792.87
- Realized PnL
- $1.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $109.19
- Potential payout
- $209.99
- Potential profit
- $100.79
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$14.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $180.39
- Potential payout
- $180.75
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $53.42
Ghana position
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$24
Over position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 Corners
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$50.4
Under position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.03
- Potential profit
- $79.03
- User PnL
- -$49
Over position
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.76
- Potential profit
- $73.76
- User PnL
- -$24.34
Algeria position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.29
- Potential profit
- $52.29
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$25.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$23.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.79
Over position
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.84
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.9
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?Yes 64.8% 10.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?Yes 59% 7.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?No 15% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?No 34.7% 32.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?No 22.7% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?No 23% 19.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?Yes 35% 7.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 527 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?Yes 49.9% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?Yes 51% 10 shares
- Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?No 80.2% 146.22 shares
- Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?No 67.2% 146.23 shares