Polymarket Trader

uwr

@exman

0x186c9a0607a2deffd608d4a5544c0a841eb2668f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.09K
Realized PnL: $971.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $971.92
Potential payout: $41.36K
Potential profit: $40.39K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$50.25

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $114.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $385.25
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $34.25

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $444
User PnL: -$197.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.66
Potential profit: $132.66
User PnL: -$126.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.66
Potential profit: $132.66
User PnL: -$126.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.31
Potential profit: $131.31
User PnL: -$126.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.31
Potential profit: $131.31
User PnL: -$126.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.31
Potential profit: $131.31
User PnL: -$126.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.68
Potential profit: $130.68
User PnL: -$126.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.23
Potential profit: $130.23
User PnL: -$126.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.15
Potential profit: $130.15
User PnL: -$126.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.13
Potential profit: $130.13
User PnL: -$126.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.97
Potential profit: $129.97
User PnL: -$126.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.97
Potential profit: $129.97
User PnL: -$126.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$96.98

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$67.89

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$67.89

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$67.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$67.89

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$67.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.94
Potential profit: $69.94
User PnL: -$67.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.78
Potential profit: $53.78
User PnL: -$48.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.64

Arsenal FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.66

Yes position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $89.54

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.15

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

The Bandits position

LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Playoffs

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.49

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Fire Flux Esports position

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 10,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.9% 1,358.43 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 800 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 50,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 20,000 shares
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5

Over 85% 5 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Over 51% 5 shares
Spread: United States (-1.5)

United States 35% 5 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 11 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 30,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 15,000 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 94% 200 shares