Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$21.58K
Polymarket Trader
probability1
0x1878b9bf883eaf8d757554cda0b4f13b2514d998
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.54
- Realized PnL
- $11.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.24K
- Potential profit
- $6.24K
- User PnL
- -$223.8
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$7.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $469.96
- Potential profit
- $469.96
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $468
- Potential profit
- $468
- User PnL
- -$163.5
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.7
- Potential profit
- $437.7
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$152
Yes position
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $116.54
- Potential payout
- $314.96
- Potential profit
- $198.42
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$93.92
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232
- Potential profit
- $232
- User PnL
- -$24.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.82
- Potential profit
- $165.82
- User PnL
- -$16.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.03
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.76
Yes position
Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp 92% 5.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp 94% 5.32 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?No 29% 800 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?No 28% 400 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?No 28% 400 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?No 27% 397.05 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?No 34% 6.05 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?No 45% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?No 44.8% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?Yes 35% 453 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?No 50% 150.03 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?No 1.5% 500 shares