Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
SigmaParrot
0x189d720e59b482a95f6c1cb49982049c035c51d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.63
- Realized PnL
- $103.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.57
- Potential profit
- $32.57
- User PnL
- -$6.84
No position
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.51
- Potential profit
- $31.51
- User PnL
- -$23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Atlanta Braves position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.81
- Potential profit
- $15.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.45
- Potential profit
- $15.45
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.59
- Potential profit
- $13.59
- User PnL
- -$5.54
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.94
- Potential profit
- $11.94
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.08
- Potential profit
- $11.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $8.55
- Potential profit
- $7.92
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.83
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Minnesota Twins position
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Indiana Fever position
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 22?Down 58% 1.72 shares
- Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 22?Down 58% 1.72 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?Down 89% 1.66 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?Down 60% 1.67 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Up 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?No 94.6% 2.08 shares
- Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 15?Up 95% 1.05 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 51% 1.96 shares
- Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 68% 1.47 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 8.55 shares
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over 45% 2.22 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?No 71% 1.41 shares