Yes position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.62
- Potential profit
- $211.62
- User PnL
- -$92.16
Polymarket Trader
Bond-of-weather
0x189e947b2031f2e19ec8d9a0d6f0308ab5a889d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.72
- Realized PnL
- $4.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $139.79
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$40.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.78
- Potential payout
- $60.53
- Potential profit
- $51.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.8
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.39
No position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.86
No position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.25
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.04
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.15
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.77
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.35
No position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.09
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.77
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.4
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.46
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.75
Yes position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.57
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $129.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $105.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.11
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.49
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.48
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.45
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?No 95% 40.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?Yes 97% 42.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?Yes 96% 33.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?Yes 32% 1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?Yes 33% 1.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 24?Yes 0.3% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 24?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?Yes 0.1% 408.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No 76% 12.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 24?No 67% 2.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 25?Yes 29% 7 shares