Polymarket Trader

armand

0x18aae932df659eacf00babbc6898c8f84343f6ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $42.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.68K
Potential profit: $13.68K
User PnL: -$661.57

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.02K
Potential profit: $12.02K
User PnL: -$883.24

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$371.84

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $8.26K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $8.1K
User PnL: -$856.69

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$175.2

Yes position

Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$213.99

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 15–20%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $6.72K
User PnL: -$282.62

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1K
Potential profit: $6.1K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$183.98

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $5.47K
User PnL: -$984.16

Yes position

Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$239.98

Yes position

Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $4.37K
User PnL: -$288.54

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $4.1K
User PnL: -$573.68

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.62K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$520

Yes position

Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$117.98

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$239.85

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$982.92

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.73K
User PnL: -$112.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Yes position

Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

Yes position

Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Liberals win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will 'Star Wars III' gross more than $25m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.77

No position

Record low border encounters in March?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $950

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944.99

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $894.39

Yes position

Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $883.64

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $879.32

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.99

Yes position

Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $765.89

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win between 13% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Yes 13% 4,000 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Yes 18% 1,482.29 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Yes 18% 3,952.77 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Yes 25.7% 984.72 shares
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?

Yes 59.1% 500 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Yes 50% 200 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Yes 41% 350 shares
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Yes 25.9% 1,438.78 shares
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Yes 25% 1,000 shares
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Yes 27.7% 1,500 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92% 500 shares
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

No 83.5% 2,000 shares