Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $468.73
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.91
Polymarket Trader
scoutwing
0x18b9368f2e5fb9bba0abecb16755815b7de40d26
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.53K
- Realized PnL
- $31.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.1%
- Current value
- $99.51
- Potential payout
- $248.16
- Potential profit
- $148.65
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $100.54
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $6.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $99.46
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $96.35
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 80% 123.68 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.9% 104.27 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 80% 24.93 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 95% 21.05 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 80% 123.91 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 95.4% 104.82 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 80% 51.65 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 93% 21.97 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 97% 21.69 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 85.8% 618.51 shares
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No 93% 107.53 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.9% 104.28 shares