No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $210.53
- Potential payout
- $212.34
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- User PnL
- $0.53
Polymarket Trader
tcdggjftyr
0x18c89f0e06710ce2cd3ffeca401986dc880d3d1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $581.28
- Realized PnL
- $343.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $200.3
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $170.44
- Potential payout
- $176.9
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.49
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.98
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
XRP all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.9% 212.34 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 96.1% 176.9 shares
- Trump out as President by July 31?No 98.9% 202.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.8% 151.34 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 150 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 190.28 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97.2% 205.76 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.6% 194.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 98.3% 203.46 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No 98.8% 179.15 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No 98.8% 192.31 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 99% 181.82 shares