Polymarket Trader

0x18cE33E4A3aE720C2f21FdC1A9961E61e227Cc48-1781266983028

0x18ce33e4a3ae720c2f21fdc1a9961e61e227cc48

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.92
Realized PnL: -$31.09
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624.85
Potential profit: $624.85
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $65.91
Potential profit: $56.91
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $65.1
Potential profit: $57.45
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $23.33
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.59
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 30% 33.33 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 42.37 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 36.5 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 33% 6.06 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 51% 1.96 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Yes 0.1% 38 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Up 92% 1.38 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Yes 25% 6 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 69% 2.27 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares