Yes position
Will Dan Barker win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $45.53
- Potential profit
- $43.8
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$14.66
Polymarket Trader
marco22
0x18dc590b66e343b8fb3621d4131eb2877b015e90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.23
- Realized PnL
- $7.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Jason Day lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.45
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $17.12
- Potential profit
- $13.87
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.5
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.47
- Potential payout
- $4.75
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $4.25
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Missed position
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.23
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.99
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.17
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $746.61
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.39
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 8 at 5 PM ET?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.29
Yes position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $458.72
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.13
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.93
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.25
No position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.78
Yes position
Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $191.92
Iowa Hawkeyes position
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.01
No position
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.6
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.5
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4 AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.63
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.41
Down position
Solana Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.24
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.44
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 21?No 61% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 21?No 63% 7.58 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?Yes 36% 15.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20?Yes 29% 1 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 21?Yes 32% 10.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 21?Yes 23% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 20?Yes 24.8% 7.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 21?Yes 17% 13.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 21?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?Yes 30% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 21?Yes 19% 6.17 shares