Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $14.61
- Potential profit
- $12.78
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.09
Polymarket Trader
0x18eb...2006
0x18eb416abe676ebcbb00fd8db2ab1c50a1622006
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $71.35
- Realized PnL
- -$45.1
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $12.09
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $12.19
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Current value
- $8.85
- Potential payout
- $12.1
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $10.74
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.69
No position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.91
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.91
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.91
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.91
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.92
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.92
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 26% 6.5 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?No 71% 7.1 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 76.5% 9.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 30% 9.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 66.6% 7.04 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 7.5 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 47% 3 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 49% 3 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 41% 7.93 shares
- Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?No 60% 3 shares