Polymarket Trader

Conalh

0x18ef83ff99d97aa00c049a677ebe4558de07328b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.38
Realized PnL: $8.87
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.46
Potential profit: $317.46
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.6
Potential profit: $95.6
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $51.38
Potential payout: $60.8
Potential profit: $9.42
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $31.92

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.43
Potential profit: $31.43
User PnL: -$2.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.21
Potential profit: $18.21
User PnL: -$4.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 7% 31.43 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 317.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Down 50% 4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Yes 0.8% 3,022.79 shares
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Yes 0.8% 3,232.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 50% 16.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Down 55% 1.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Up 1% 85.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Up 35% 2.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Down 92% 1.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Down 26% 17.18 shares