No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Polymarket Trader
aztecjaguar
0x18fe71779d069027f4fd7fbb8bdb24d5ea64339f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $3.91
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Rug Pull" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in February?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Rug Pull" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in February?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Canada election called by Sunday?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.2% 33 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 90.6% 35 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 90.6% 35 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 32 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 83% 33 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 66% 42 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 57% 51 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 5.1% 63 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 63% 24 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 61% 24 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 34.1% 69 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96.3% 32 shares