Polymarket Trader

0x1907b716117bf6E6e891D963022913da4a8F8174-1772642569933

0x1907b716117bf6e6e891d963022913da4a8f8174

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $511.95
Realized PnL: $3.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $665.99
Potential profit: $665.99
User PnL: -$86.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.36
Potential profit: $403.36
User PnL: -$58.47

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.99
Potential profit: $227.99
User PnL: -$102.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $142.2
Potential payout: $158
Potential profit: $15.8
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $36.34

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$103.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $139
Potential payout: $139
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $38.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $138
User PnL: -$43.47

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $117.65
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $12.35
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $18.85

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $113.1
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $13.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.23

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $178.79

No position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.54

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.91

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.93

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.89

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.93

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Yes 42.8% 43.24 shares
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

No 10.6% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 76.1% 15.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 76.6% 121.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 76.2% 136.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 17% 47.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 23.3% 48.08 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

No 42% 253 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 892.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 67% 149.49 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Yes 28% 200 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Yes 27.4% 120 shares