Polymarket Trader

Hamilton

0x1917a426e15613baaf8599061ca4343e26aff8a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $250.5
Realized PnL: $1.37K
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.45K
User PnL: -$170

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$547.8

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$389.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $617.28
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$33.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.27

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Israel Adesanya position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Nebraska Cornhuskers position

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$10

Illinois Fighting Illini position

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$44.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 42% 2,999.99 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 10,000 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 45% 2,000 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 45% 425.03 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.2% 10,000 shares
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 20% 2,234.93 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Yes 76% 5.78 shares
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Israel Adesanya 57% 176.6 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.7% 100.91 shares
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars

Illinois Fighting Illini 43% 1,991.37 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86.9% 1,000 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 25% 642.25 shares