No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$235
Polymarket Trader
Cryp2mancer
0x1927978f35c07d7da976b80332cf0058aa738774
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $348
- Realized PnL
- $657.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $131
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $69
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $108
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.32
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $27.75
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.79
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 150 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.5% 150 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 65% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?Yes 34.2% 150 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?Yes 37.8% 150 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes 13% 93.03 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes 15% 93.03 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No 65% 70.83 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No 91.5% 129.54 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes 7% 100 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?No 3.5% 28.57 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares