Polymarket Trader

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0x193fdd4021a01d3a94285827d0afe81e8907ce73

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.62
Realized PnL: $11.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $17.03
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $3.06
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $2.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 85% 1.18 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

No 88% 1.14 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 18.87 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 7.94 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 55% 1.82 shares