Y
Yes position
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?
Ends Aug 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $453.86
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Polymarket Trader
Quit2000
0x19400a3a4530b9ecefe71c94ad4d012feab900a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $671.38
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.19
- Potential profit
- $374.19
- User PnL
- -$116
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $39.31
- Potential payout
- $198.02
- Potential profit
- $158.71
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.4
- Potential profit
- $125.4
- User PnL
- -$43.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $52.78
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $58.33
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $12.78
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.23
- Potential profit
- $103.23
- User PnL
- -$64
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $69.08
- Potential payout
- $92.17
- Potential profit
- $23.09
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $29.08
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $82.58
- Potential payout
- $90.74
- Potential profit
- $8.17
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $62.18
- Potential payout
- $89.48
- Potential profit
- $27.3
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $75.29
- Potential payout
- $81.4
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $67.55
- Potential payout
- $70.59
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $40.34
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $28.62
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $20.34
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $57.74
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $6.77
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $17.74
No position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $30.04
- Potential payout
- $48.06
- Potential profit
- $18.02
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.85
- Potential profit
- $46.85
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?
Ends Aug 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $35.46
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $21.05
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $14.04
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $32.02
- Potential payout
- $33.26
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.68
- Potential profit
- $17.68
- User PnL
- -$3.7
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.27
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.54
No position
Will the next James Bond be British?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.06
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.18
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.99
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.18
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.33
No position
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.86
No position
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.32
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.07
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.03
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.36
No position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.33
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.75
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.51
No position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.15
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.83
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
No position
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.67
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.74
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 62% 8.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 36% 111.11 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No 57% 35.09 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 29% 68.97 shares
- Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Yes 81% 37.04 shares
- Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?Yes 1.1% 454.55 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.2% 198.02 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 62.4% 48.06 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 43.4% 92.17 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No 99% 73.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 31% 374.19 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?No 96.6% 120.98 shares