Polymarket Trader

0x1945a99e1534d81455287cE3db110341D4FD9383-1772568974928

0x1945a99e1534d81455287ce3db110341d4fd9383

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $74.41
Realized PnL: $165.82
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $34.22
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $153.28
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $4.22

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.31
Potential profit: $140.31
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.88
Potential profit: $126.88
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $28.67
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $63.49
Potential profit: $58.73
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$35.24

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.7
Potential profit: $59.7
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $52.06
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.81

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.56

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.35

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.86

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

No position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.53

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.68

Yes position

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$25.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 56% 71.43 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 7.9% 126.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 77% 97.22 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 28.5% 140.31 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 74.1% 40.49 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 187.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 63% 63.49 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No 45% 66.67 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Yes 1.8% 240 shares
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Yes 28.9% 103.81 shares
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

No 82.9% 36.18 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Yes 12.5% 240 shares