N
No position
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $63.26
- Potential payout
- $139.03
- Potential profit
- $75.77
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.12
Polymarket Trader
hadarhaddad
0x1946e97c0fbcbf687144f626513df2dee39a6367
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $513.53
- Realized PnL
- $5.19
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $57.92
- Potential payout
- $100.73
- Potential profit
- $42.81
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $42.81
- Potential payout
- $100.73
- Potential profit
- $57.92
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Germany to win the second half?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.83
- Potential profit
- $52.83
- User PnL
- -$14.97
N
No position
Paraguay to win the second half?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $48.33
- Potential payout
- $48.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.4
N
No position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $23.12
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
N
No position
Argentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $20.46
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
N
No position
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.18
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $20.92
- Potential payout
- $21.84
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $16.05
- Potential payout
- $21.84
- Potential profit
- $5.79
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $21.61
- Potential payout
- $21.84
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $21.35
- Potential payout
- $21.84
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $21.84
- Potential profit
- $14.74
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.11
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $16.59
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
N
No position
Will England win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $17.06
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $15.37
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.37
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $13.31
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $14.16
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
N
No position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $15.17
- Potential payout
- $18.11
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
N
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $17.97
- Potential payout
- $18.11
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $17.3
- Potential payout
- $18.11
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $10.41
- Potential payout
- $12.78
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $12.27
- Potential payout
- $12.78
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Japan to win the second half?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.18
N
No position
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
N
No position
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Ghana win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
N
No position
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?No 65% 0.14 shares
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 85.4% 8.75 shares
- Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 99.6% 8.75 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 74% 21.84 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.8% 21.84 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 95.9% 21.84 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 99% 21.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 2?No 99.9% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?No 95% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 2?No 99.7% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?No 99.9% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on July 2?No 99.9% 6.25 shares