Polymarket Trader

d32148120948214790125

0x194c88235aae190f11fb45c0a470226e5f09a273

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.09
Realized PnL: $1.51
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $57.09
Potential payout: $992.94
Potential profit: $935.85
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $22.48

Yes position

Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $816.98
Potential profit: $816.98
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.98
Potential profit: $70.98
User PnL: -$7.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.83
Potential profit: $29.83
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.5
Potential profit: $24.5
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.71
Potential profit: $20.71
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.57
Potential profit: $17.57
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.88
Potential profit: $16.88
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.33
Potential profit: $11.33
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.05
Potential profit: $11.05
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.67
Potential profit: $10.67
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.65
Potential profit: $10.65
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.83
Potential profit: $9.83
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $9.25
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.83
Potential profit: $8.83
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $8.46
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.41
Potential profit: $8.41
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.38
Potential profit: $8.38
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.15
Potential profit: $8.15
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.57
Potential profit: $7.57
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.44
Potential profit: $7.44
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $5.05
User PnL: -$1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?

Yes 30% 4.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 30?

Yes 35% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?

Yes 33% 6.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?

Yes 11.9% 19.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on June 29?

Yes 6% 24.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?

Yes 33% 3.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 28?

Yes 27% 3.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?

Yes 24% 4.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 28?

Yes 12% 10.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?

Yes 7% 20.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?

Yes 6% 29.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?

Yes 8% 16.88 shares