Polymarket Trader

0x19626d3AE0ce627fb46a60213D3e7ddCb78b9Ce5-1777253174712

0x19626d3ae0ce627fb46a60213d3e7ddcb78b9ce5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.85
Realized PnL: $375.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$35.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$34.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$43.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$83.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $21.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.3
Multiplier: 4.61x
User PnL: $13.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 73.8%
Current value: $73.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $26.2
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $36.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.96

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 45.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 37% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 37% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 45% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 10.9% 29.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 83.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 12.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 26% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 22% 100 shares