Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.02K
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $992.53
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $30.08
Polymarket Trader
helpimpoor
0x1971f047e3a37e9b996cd7b8f06c71f0392c66ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.02K
- Realized PnL
- $4.7K
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.2
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.55
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.61
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.8
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.96
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.94
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $98.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.29
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.41
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.74
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.31
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.45
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$413.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$639
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 84% 13.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 110 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes 82% 4.39 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 25 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 73% 2.81 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 95.3% 600 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No 98.6% 1.1 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 91.2% 285 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 93.7% 280.3 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes 15% 13 shares
- Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No 81.3% 1,537.18 shares