No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $24.83
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Polymarket Trader
0x1974...99d3
0x197472cd975f6f040b6128931789566ae39f99d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $96.29
- Realized PnL
- -$28.21
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $20.13
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.47
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $15.22
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.57
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $12.16
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $9.69
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $7.59
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.63x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.53
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$15.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 88% 7 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 8% 13 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 90% 12 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 7.3% 20 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 87% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 28% 13 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 14% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.1% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 50.1% 14 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 50% 6 shares