No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $28
Polymarket Trader
humblefarmer-308
0x198b30b5832b4608d9b7fbb6b613c9205498a1dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $240
- Realized PnL
- $2.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
zkSync airdrop by June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.43
Yes position
$ARB above $1 one week after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.59
Yes position
Powell says "inflation" 15+ times in FOMC statement?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.65
No position
Will HOP token be above $0.10 on June 16, 2022?
Ends Jun 16, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.64
No position
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.1
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.67
No position
Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.2
No position
2022 Open Championship: Will Tiger Woods make the cut?
Ends Jul 17, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.23
No position
Will $USDT depeg by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.85
No position
Will there be a new (1,073rd) NFL Scorigami in September 2022?
Ends Sep 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.56
No position
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $2 on its 1st day of trading?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.65
Y
Yes position
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
Ends Oct 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.64
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Springfield" during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
No position
Will there be another (1,074th) NFL Scorigami in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.41
N
No position
Will NATO expand in 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.28
No position
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.97
No position
Will Trump say "Reserve" during the X space?
Ends Sep 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?
Ends Jul 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.51
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.17
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.5
Yes position
2022 Open Championship: Will Cameron Smith win?
Ends Jul 17, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.95
Yes position
Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.6
No position
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?No 72% 100 shares
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No 84% 56 shares
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No 72.4% 38 shares
- Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?No 64% 10.99 shares
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No 76% 60 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 73% 30 shares
- Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?No 78.9% 36 shares
- Elon out of Trump administration before July?No 60% 100 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 38% 100 shares
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes 76% 60 shares
- Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Masters?Yes 2.6% 42 shares
- Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?Yes 15% 70 shares