No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Polymarket Trader
lachlan444trenton
0x1997ac3532b6c046091efb6755edf1ab812df8bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.97
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2100 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2100 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
More Epstein files released in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 43 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 83% 43 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 95.5% 29 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 95.6% 29 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 81% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 76% 43 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 37 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 37 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.5% 37 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.3% 37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 90% 36 shares