Polymarket Trader

0x199d5AE501bF9E6765c0Bb12cc8D759AAff613F1-1777752449806

0x199d5ae501bf9e6765c0bb12cc8d759aaff613f1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.64
Realized PnL: -$9
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in the US in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $25.78
Potential profit: $25.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.21
Potential profit: $19.21
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $9.67
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.75
Potential profit: $7.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $5.85
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Impressive" during his next video?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "This Year" during his next video?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 79.4% 1.26 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Yes 3.9% 25.78 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Yes 10.3% 9.71 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Yes 10.9% 9.17 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 81% 1.23 shares
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in June?

Yes 97% 1.03 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

No 94% 1.06 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?

No 99.8% 1 shares
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?

No 99.9% 1 shares
Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 99.8% 1 shares
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Yes 97.1% 1.03 shares