No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $14.76K
- Potential payout
- $19.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $689.53
Polymarket Trader
0x199dF422f3460e56931a6af1643A0bB97A9A6E7B-1723168998413
0x199df422f3460e56931a6af1643a0bb97a9a6e7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.69K
- Realized PnL
- $8.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.2K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$905.08
Daniel Santos position
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $517.37
- Potential payout
- $539.77
- Potential profit
- $22.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.37
No position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $494.63
- Potential profit
- $494.63
- User PnL
- -$287.59
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $242.67
- Potential payout
- $277.34
- Potential profit
- $34.67
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.33
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.97
- Potential profit
- $6.97
- User PnL
- -$6.83
Marco Tulio position
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.89
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $693.81
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.26
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.32
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.98
Alexander Volkov position
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.37
Ketlen Vieira position
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.14
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.54
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.48
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.6
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.01
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.25
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.37
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.67
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $97.46
Ivan Erslan position
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.65
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.44
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $44.88
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.87
No position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 661.84 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 82% 549.17 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor 31% 322.58 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No 76.6% 467.41 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 52.1% 1,123.89 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor 31% 322.58 shares
- Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?No 90.1% 277.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 1,265.82 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 90% 1,103.31 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 88.9% 1,124.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 420.53 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 87.5% 685.83 shares