No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $373.8
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $19.75
Polymarket Trader
SupercubPA18
0x19a4ae213c0b3c592eb0efcaf0dd72b2cfd7fa7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.2K
- Realized PnL
- $526.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $750.24
- Potential payout
- $847.73
- Potential profit
- $97.49
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $42.48
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $594.27
- Potential payout
- $603.01
- Potential profit
- $8.74
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $44.96
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $10.89
- Potential payout
- $435.7
- Potential profit
- $424.81
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.11
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $108.04
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $70.54
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $8.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $87.86
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$6.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $49.73
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $37.98
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.52
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.35
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.7
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.7
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.13
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.42
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.88
Yes position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.28
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.01
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $11.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 28.1% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 76.6% 14.68 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 89% 120 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 90% 100 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 89% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 16% 13 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 94.1% 32 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 93.8% 53.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 95.4% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 94.9% 31.63 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 93.5% 21.39 shares