Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $21.7
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $118.3
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Polymarket Trader
0x19Aa0C5946d39041C1D41781C85d77eEA1a5C089-1783436754171
0x19aa0c5946d39041c1d41781c85d77eea1a5c089
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $241.53
- Realized PnL
- $0.69
- Win rate
- 6.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $21.45
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $108.55
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $101
- Multiplier
- 5.21x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $21.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $58.8
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.7%
- Current value
- $21.32
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $58.68
- Multiplier
- 3.75x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $21.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $58.4
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $21.7
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $48.3
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $22.4
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $47.6
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $22.05
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $47.95
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $20.69
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $39.31
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $4.56
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- $10.36
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 35% 60 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 26.7% 8 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 21.9% 20 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 21.9% 90 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 16% 10 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 27% 80 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 27% 80 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 22% 100 shares
- Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 19.4% 125 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 21.8% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 30% 70 shares