0x19Ae9EFEf67c685A8581d631d99267B1ff10395c-1775899651574

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $531.67
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $886.11
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$90.33

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$476.93

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $341.75
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $709.8
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$51.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $498.85
Potential profit: $498.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$203.59

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.84
Potential profit: $344.84
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $292.11
Potential payout: $328.22
Potential profit: $36.1
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$7.89

Over position

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.48
Potential profit: $313.48
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.45
Potential profit: $297.45
User PnL: -$101.1

Over position

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $98.54
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $187.17
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.46

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.55
Potential profit: $262.55
User PnL: -$115.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $99.04
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $93.27
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $112.74
Potential payout: $135.84
Potential profit: $23.09
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $12.74

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $97.13
Potential payout: $119.19
Potential profit: $22.06
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.87

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $101.67
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $100.27
Potential payout: $107.64
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $100.53
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $5.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $99.85
Potential payout: $100.2
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $50.39
Potential payout: $53.52
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.39

Under position

France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.36
Potential profit: $14.36
User PnL: -$9.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.97

Under position

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $751.78

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.94

Under position

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.82

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.82

No position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.12

Under position

France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.87

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.83

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.34

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.59

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Aguilar position

Set Handicap: Aguilar (-1.5) vs Maestrelli (+1.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$7.51

Maestrelli position

Set Handicap: Aguilar (-1.5) vs Maestrelli (+1.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.06

Under position

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$157.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET