No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Polymarket Trader
Shane717
0x19b0b4005f7088b64456266b4e9de6a75e2a2165
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.78
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will 'Opus' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will 'Opus' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Florida position
Norfolk State vs. Florida
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 9–16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in April 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Pacers vs. Warriors be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 78.4% 63 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 77.3% 63 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 45 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 2.2% 4 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 3.1% 43 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 3.1% 92 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 3.3% 141 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 3.2% 144 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 108 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 113 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 68 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 85 shares