Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $21.42
- Potential payout
- $22.89
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Polymarket Trader
Hawkridgeir
0x19ba20ef4d6887a3a48b2f50fa29366bda82f2a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.42
- Realized PnL
- $3.15
- Win rate
- 76.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$13.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.64
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.1% 22.89 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?Yes 99.4% 12.07 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?Yes 22% 13.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 96.8% 26.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 98.9% 26.29 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 28.9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 28.91 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.8% 27.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.1% 27.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.8% 28.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 91% 28.57 shares