No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.83K
- Potential profit
- $9.83K
- User PnL
- -$39.3
Polymarket Trader
Trud
0x19cce62e443df599c0f898b002f3d523a76dc4fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.79K
- Realized PnL
- $518.52
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.38K
- Potential payout
- $8.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $633.88
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $75.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $688.74
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.3%
- Current value
- $981.6
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $376.07
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $316.6
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $139.99
- Potential payout
- $201.45
- Potential profit
- $61.46
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $8.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.09
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $159.63
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.95
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.03
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 52% 475.4 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 99.7% 185.18 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 44% 1,363.75 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 16.4% 183.48 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 16.3% 61.28 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 17.3% 289.79 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 0.8% 3,707.51 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 81.2% 123.12 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 13.5% 185.19 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 6.9% 1,815.41 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 4.9% 823.68 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 4.3% 465.57 shares