Polymarket Trader

atkw

0x19cd028f900dde7b01594940dfd5b60fdd917a82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.97K
Realized PnL: $519.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $5.97K
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $36.04
User PnL: -$29.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206
Potential profit: $206
User PnL: -$19.96

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.65
Potential profit: $109.65
User PnL: -$49.23

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.57
Potential profit: $65.57
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.13
Potential profit: $27.13
User PnL: -$19.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.27

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.28
Potential profit: $17.28
User PnL: -$9.85

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$9.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.67
Potential profit: $12.67
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$10

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Wizards

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.76

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.66

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.32

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.52

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.03

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.02

No position

Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.36

No position

Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?

No 99.9% 6,006.41 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?

No 99.7% 3,016.23 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?

No 99.5% 3,016.24 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 30?

Yes 99.9% 7,007 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 30?

Yes 99.9% 7,007.01 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 28?

No 99.9% 3,003 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28?

Yes 99.9% 3,003 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 27?

Yes 99.9% 6,006.01 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 26?

No 99.9% 6,006.01 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 25?

No 99.9% 6,006.01 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24?

No 99.8% 3,006.01 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23?

Yes 99.9% 6,006.01 shares