Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.2
- Potential profit
- $392.2
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
afspies
0x19d15c75d932120c8b54a41898fa38769ce5668d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.31
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $259.73
- Potential profit
- $255.31
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $146.33
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $3.72
- Potential payout
- $143.01
- Potential profit
- $139.29
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $7.04
- Potential payout
- $120.3
- Potential profit
- $113.27
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.76
- Potential profit
- $116.76
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.23
- Potential payout
- $98.46
- Potential profit
- $81.23
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.77
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.81
- Potential profit
- $69.81
- User PnL
- -$10.36
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $66.45
- Potential profit
- $62.79
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $63.09
- Potential profit
- $60.25
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $56.82
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $53.93
- Potential profit
- $44.49
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.55
- Potential profit
- $41.55
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $17.54
- Potential payout
- $26.79
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $25.86
- Potential profit
- $22.88
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $21.84
- Potential profit
- $13.65
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $10.27
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 7.4% 66.45 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 63% 7.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 58.4% 10.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 25% 60 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 63% 34.76 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?Yes 4.5% 33.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 39% 38.46 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 63% 39.84 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes 11.6% 25.86 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 7.9% 63.09 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.4% 156.25 shares