Polymarket Trader

david.de

0x19d6ca5dc0a2a8c81e73973219f4849e4a3a40fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $517.68
Realized PnL: $1.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $133.53
Potential payout: $645.09
Potential profit: $511.55
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$16.46

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $220.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.99
Potential profit: $237.99
User PnL: -$177.45

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $22.66
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $133.59
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$27.34

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $136.59
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $107.41
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.9%
Current value: $33.5
Potential payout: $93.46
Potential profit: $59.95
Multiplier: 2.79x
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $74.41
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $76.34
Potential profit: $70.11
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $6.66
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $58.28
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$3.34

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $41.72
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.83

Yes position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $9.25
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $6.23
Potential payout: $8.14
Potential profit: $1.91
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.82

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.4%
Multiplier: 6.49x
User PnL: $197.06

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.61

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.36

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.14

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.79

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.63

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.05

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.3

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.35

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 20 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74% 300 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83% 235.29 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Yes 96% 12.7 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 3.2% 999 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 70.7% 32 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 79.3% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 99.9% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 73% 100 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Yes 87% 63.41 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 78% 26 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 77% 50 shares