No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.45K
- Potential profit
- $22.45K
- User PnL
- -$47.67
Polymarket Trader
KarlikPatrick
0x19db1372becbe7d982a27cefc1d9b765b63d7636
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $364.89
- Realized PnL
- $2.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.75
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$22.75
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $261.12
- Potential profit
- $258.9
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$35.35
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $232.35
- Potential payout
- $256.74
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $182.27
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $15.41
- Potential payout
- $171.23
- Potential profit
- $155.82
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$34.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $139.99
- Potential profit
- $139.22
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$24.43
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $131.44
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $21.12
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $110.46
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $19.83
- Potential payout
- $127.93
- Potential profit
- $108.1
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$35.17
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $28.08
- Potential payout
- $119.75
- Potential profit
- $91.67
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$20.52
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $116.97
- Potential profit
- $112.29
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.7
No position
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.59
- User PnL
- -$26.49
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $83.18
- Potential profit
- $82.35
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.17
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $30.84
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $49.16
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.04
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$50.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.23
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.91
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.99
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.84
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.52
Yes position
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.82
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.24
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.98
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.59
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.6
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.73
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.74
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.8
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.9
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.78
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.55
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.13
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.86
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.51
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 62% 16.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 7,460 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 4,975 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 1.3% 220.77 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 40.6% 119.75 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes 9% 106.67 shares
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under 82% 60.98 shares
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under 63% 39.68 shares