Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $146.97
- Potential payout
- $554.61
- Potential profit
- $407.64
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$133.01
Polymarket Trader
0x19e5...dd71
0x19e5e4bd692fea0b868aa1b57ab4bd5a86a0dd71
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.59K
- Realized PnL
- $1.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $426.35
- Potential payout
- $484.48
- Potential profit
- $58.14
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$23.93
Yes position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $431.71
- Potential payout
- $459.27
- Potential profit
- $27.56
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $65.62
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $381.96
- Potential payout
- $386.99
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $22.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $291.03
- Potential payout
- $291.76
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- User PnL
- $26.33
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $163.06
- Potential payout
- $218.87
- Potential profit
- $55.81
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $158.14
- Potential payout
- $173.69
- Potential profit
- $15.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $141.44
- Potential profit
- $138.97
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$12.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $99.15
- Potential payout
- $140.64
- Potential profit
- $41.49
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $14.05
- Potential payout
- $122.18
- Potential profit
- $108.13
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.13
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $78.25
- Potential payout
- $119.47
- Potential profit
- $41.22
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.44
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $72.2
- Potential payout
- $82.05
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $68.87
- Potential payout
- $72.61
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $66.05
- Potential payout
- $68.31
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $37.54
- Potential payout
- $42.18
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $38.38
- Potential profit
- $19.38
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$6.27
No position
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $19.4
- Potential payout
- $28.74
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $12.2
- Potential payout
- $26.8
- Potential profit
- $14.61
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $19.43
- Potential payout
- $26.8
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $7.36
- Potential payout
- $26.78
- Potential profit
- $19.42
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $26.02
- Potential payout
- $26.69
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $25.98
- Potential payout
- $26.53
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $26.16
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.2%
- Current value
- $17.19
- Potential payout
- $24.48
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $5.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.61
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.1
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.99
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.83
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.33
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.45
Yes position
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.82
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.36
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.39
No position
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
Over position
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $19.94
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $17.96
Yes position
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 81.9% 130.86 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 90% 191.56 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 94% 12.97 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 58.2% 72.16 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 95% 4.51 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 36% 13.39 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 36% 13.39 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 95% 8.62 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 94% 2.65 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 29% 4.62 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 61.7% 30.46 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 29% 19.52 shares