Polymarket Trader

0x19e78716c3b17C3d288347e4931B657F2c1709Af-1779123258313

0x19e78716c3b17c3d288347e4931b657f2c1709af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $343.41
Realized PnL: $411.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $74.96
Potential payout: $454.28
Potential profit: $379.33
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$45.04

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $76.62
Potential payout: $209.91
Potential profit: $133.29
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$13.38

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $116.3
Potential payout: $209.55
Potential profit: $93.25
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $54.51
Potential profit: $35.71
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $19.24
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $10.52
Potential payout: $15.71
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $13.47
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.47

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $11.56
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $5.32
User PnL: -$4.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: -$3.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: -$3.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.14
Potential profit: $4.14
User PnL: -$3.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $4.04
User PnL: -$3.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.94
Potential profit: $3.94
User PnL: -$3.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75
Potential profit: $3.75
User PnL: -$3.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$1.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.62
Potential profit: $3.62
User PnL: -$1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $3.5
User PnL: -$1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.85

No position

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.99

Down position

XRP Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.87

Switzerland position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 83% 1.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 75% 1.4 shares
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

No 79% 12.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Up 24.6% 5.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Up 77% 5.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Up 84% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Down 85% 1.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 99% 1.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Up 99% 5.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 83% 1.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Up 83% 5.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Up 83% 1.27 shares