Polymarket Trader

MurphyTyler

0x1a04017ddf32637344392ba788b85550781a8c16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.2
Realized PnL: $430.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Over position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.19
Potential profit: $13.19
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $10.47
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $10.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.75

No position

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02
Potential profit: $3.02
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.74

Chicago White Sox position

Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.43

Over position

Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.32

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Wizards

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Over position

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Over position

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Over position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

No position

Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Daniil Medvedev position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Jenson Brooksby

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 91% 13.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 53.8% 5.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 86% 10.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 86% 10.35 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5

Over 14% 14.29 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Over 76% 10.53 shares
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Over 30% 8.33 shares
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Over 76% 10.53 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5

Over 72% 69 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?

Yes 0.2% 1,500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 99.8% 10.02 shares
Rangers vs. Lightning

Rangers 48% 553.35 shares