Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $25.99
- Potential payout
- $881
- Potential profit
- $855.01
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$79.73
Polymarket Trader
JohnLane8295
0x1a044c41fd6989a056d25d03689f067dd9c62310
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.45
- Realized PnL
- $2.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $109.25
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $80.75
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $35.15
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $20.21
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $65.79
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$21.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.23
No position
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.63
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.76
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.5
Over position
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.06
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.57
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129
Jacksonville State Gamecocks position
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.39
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.3
No position
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $53.88
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.88
No position
Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.52
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.47
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.23
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.08
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $22.44
No position
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
No position
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.67
Yes position
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $8.34
Yes position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?No 66% 544 shares
- Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?No 58% 544 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?No 1.8% 116 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 255 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?No 17% 603 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 28 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 30 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 29 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 30 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 28 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 29 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 29 shares