Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $583.78
- Potential payout
- $694.98
- Potential profit
- $111.2
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $13.78
Polymarket Trader
nicknigelloki
0x1a0f17f7a2a9a65ea669871fddd4d5c93cda53a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $690.24
- Realized PnL
- $122.54
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $106.46
- Potential payout
- $111.47
- Potential profit
- $5.02
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $16.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.46
- Potential profit
- $71.46
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.62
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 21% 492.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70% 557.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 492.54 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82.4% 303.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 324.68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 81.7% 391.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 232.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes 97% 41.66 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 84.2% 47.51 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes 99.9% 41.66 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.3% 36.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94% 42.55 shares