QuantPikachu

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.02
Potential profit: $460.02
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.44
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.29
Potential profit: $36.29
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.81
Potential profit: $30.81
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.49
Potential profit: $30.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.38
Potential profit: $25.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $24.75
Potential profit: $22.77
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.67
Potential profit: $24.67
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.06
Potential profit: $24.06
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.67
Potential profit: $21.66
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.33
Potential profit: $21.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $17.82
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $17.82
Potential profit: $15.4
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.55
Potential profit: $17.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.55
Potential profit: $15.55
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.78
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $14.57
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $13.81
Potential profit: $11.04
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $13.36
Potential profit: $11.49
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $2.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET