No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.68K
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $348.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $373.52
Polymarket Trader
gosouth
0x1a245d9aa070c2668fb6217191ba5306168ac5dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.15K
- Realized PnL
- $111.01
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $471.75
- Potential payout
- $483.1
- Potential profit
- $11.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $156.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.12
Y
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 92% 2,032.41 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 36% 7.8 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 77% 1,877 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 65.3% 483.1 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 78% 573 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 95% 468.66 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 78% 700 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 75% 1,331 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 74% 348.47 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 91.1% 1,379.73 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes 88% 29 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes 88.9% 90.99 shares