CarinthiaBest

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $19.67
Potential payout: $20.21
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $15.27
Potential payout: $15.31
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $14.93
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $11.79
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$6.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.52
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.52
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.26
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $9.83
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.02
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will anyone say "Idiot" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will anyone say "Morty" 10+ times during Rick and Morty E4 S9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will anyone say "Rick" 10+ times during Rick and Morty E4 S9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 45.2%
Multiplier: 2.21x
User PnL: $0.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 25?