No position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $579.86
- Potential payout
- $734
- Potential profit
- $154.14
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $168.82
Polymarket Trader
AlyssaSullivan5359
0x1a4128a4ca248d9a11a5ea7203a87e1262e41160
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.14K
- Realized PnL
- $2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Over position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $545
- Potential profit
- $545
- User PnL
- -$212.55
Al Najmah Saudi Club position
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351
- Potential profit
- $351
- User PnL
- -$94.07
Lamar Cardinals position
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $305
- Potential payout
- $305
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $31.42
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257
- Potential profit
- $257
- User PnL
- -$51.4
Under position
Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$195.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $213
- Potential profit
- $203.42
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$15.98
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $200.08
- Potential payout
- $202
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- $60.7
Michigan State Spartans position
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $17.99
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $15.02
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.9
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.34
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $248.94
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $185.4
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.1
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.77
Yes position
Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.92
Yes position
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.88
No position
Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.91
Yes position
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.75B and $9.00B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.02
Southern Jaguars position
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.8
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 23 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.22
No position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $63.34
Yes position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $60.12
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.96
No position
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.05
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $45.84
No position
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $650M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.8
Yes position
Revolut IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $40.75
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $35.95
Yes position
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $32.48
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.76
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.34
Yes position
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.74
Yes position
Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 96% 18 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 69% 220 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 57% 701 shares
- Will Trump post "God Bless America" this week on Truth Social?No 56% 872 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 62% 701 shares
- Will Trump post "God Bless America" this week on Truth Social?No 68% 872 shares
- Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No 86% 496 shares
- Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No 86% 429 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No 89% 386 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No 87% 541 shares
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No 81% 927 shares