Polymarket Trader

Jianyuen

0x1a441b376f9e82eb9643a449b8b74d1b84e25e33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.4K
Realized PnL: $10.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.63K
Potential payout: $10.65K
Potential profit: $15.98
User PnL: $138.75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $241.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $252.51

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $658
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $742
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$72

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$802.8

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$859.99

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $796.4
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $353.49
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $346.5
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$57.5

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $581.42
Potential payout: $600.02
Potential profit: $18.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $89.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $429
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $171
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$370

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $350
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $73.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $326.2
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $51.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $348.6
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $353
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $26.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $373.4
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $393.8
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $54.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $345.4
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $29.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $370.6
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $15.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $384.2
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $338
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $62
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $74

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $146
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $254
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $23.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $376.6
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$361

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.91

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682

No position

Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.62

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.8

No position

Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.2

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.7

No position

Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460.43

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.2

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.32

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.37

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.57

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.17

No position

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.39

No position

Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.24

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.99

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.33

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.57

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.29

No position

Will Solana reach $100 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $326.75

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 78% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82% 500 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 99.6% 299.99 shares
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?

No 99.5% 228.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 98.9% 200 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

No 33% 30 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 80% 110 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 58% 363.3 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

No 17% 199.99 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 51% 101 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.5% 500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.2% 7,000 shares