Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $594.31
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $466.96
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $344.31
Polymarket Trader
0x06E8bCEDA334500F69af87a9F74d218Cf15A179B-1776101877194
0x1a46e5a498acd8d6cbaec922c3f1e3cb5a58ee7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $926.15
- Realized PnL
- $780.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $272.88
- Potential payout
- $338.98
- Potential profit
- $66.1
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $72.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $6.94
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $85.65
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$18.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.01
- Potential profit
- $84.01
- User PnL
- -$75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.2
- Potential profit
- $78.2
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.33
- Potential profit
- $58.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $52.01
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.56
- Potential profit
- $53.56
- User PnL
- -$12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $53.19
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.79
- Potential profit
- $49.79
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.32
- Potential profit
- $45.32
- User PnL
- -$35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.7
- Potential profit
- $44.7
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.79
- Potential profit
- $28.79
- User PnL
- -$19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.66
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $145.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.79
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $42.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- $23.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 95% 255.29 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 96.8% 452.98 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 64.7% 52.53 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 78.3% 255.29 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 74.9% 400.45 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 60.2% 122.39 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 26% 613.38 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 28% 535.71 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 31% 344.82 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 59% 338.98 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 19% 525.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown 91% 27.47 shares