No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $314.16
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $165.84
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Polymarket Trader
serdgr5
0x1a4f245a280c57787698d66c68526baf3dca85d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $622.16
- Realized PnL
- $253.2
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $308
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No 87% 350 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 65.8% 480 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 82% 1,200 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 70% 999.98 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 66% 568.94 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 79.1% 350 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 79.9% 302 shares